With somewhat greater than two months till New Yorkers head to the polls to choose the Democratic candidate for mayor, Andrew Yang is widening the hole over his second-place rival, Eric Adams.
A survey carried out by Knowledge For Progress, a nationwide suppose tank, discovered 26 p.c of voters are supporting Yang’s candidacy — double the 13 p.c who stated they might assist Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams. The information comes as a number of PACS are in the works to additional help Yang’s marketing campaign.
The poll additionally discovered Yang main Adams 25 to 22 p.c amongst Black voters — a shocking quantity given the borough president’s political base in predominantly African-American elements of Brooklyn. Knowledge For Progress polled 1,007 doubtless voters between March 21 and April 5 via net and textual content interviews, which might not essentially seize the older New Yorkers Adams — a former police officer and state Senator — is relying on.
Metropolis Comptroller Scott Stringer, a profession politician from Manhattan, captured 11 p.c of these surveyed, and former Metropolis Corridor legal professional and MSNBC authorized analyst Maya Wiley got here in fourth at 10 p.c. Each different candidate polled in single digits.
The survey, which was carried out in English, discovered Yang main his opponents in each demographic: Girls, males and voters who determine as Asian, Hispanic and white. He was additionally the highest choose for individuals with and with out school levels.
Yang, who joined the race in January, has dominated almost each information cycle with each controversy and artistic campaigning. He relentlessly promotes New York Metropolis’s post-Covid comeback, proposing incentives for out-of-town commuters and emphasizing a need to lure vacationers again to the Massive Apple. He took in a game at Yankee Stadium, promised a “key to the town” to the TurboVax creator and made a show of buying movie tickets with his wife when theaters reopened.
His breezy fashion and quasi-celebrity standing has dwarfed the eye acquired by his opponents after they roll out their very own endorsements and policy proposals.
The brand new findings, which have been the compilation of a number of polls Knowledge for Progress not too long ago carried out, confirmed a widening lead for Yang. He was simply 6 factors forward of Adams in a survey released last month by lobbying firm Fontas Advisors. That poll discovered half the citizens was undecided — a pattern that Knowledge for Progress backed up in a distinct, issue-based survey launched earlier this week.
However, when the query was posed in another way, solely 14 p.c didn’t choose a first-place candidate and one other 4 p.c stated they supported somebody who wasn’t listed.
The poll discovered Yang additionally advantages from ranked-choice voting — a system that’s debuting in metropolis elections this 12 months. Thirty-one p.c named him their second alternative choose, in contrast to 13 p.c for Adams and Stringer and 11 p.c for Wiley. Adams edged him out barely in third-place picks with 15 p.c in contrast to Yang’s 14 p.c.
“There’s going to be numerous room for persuasion in this race, however it is extremely clear to me that Andrew Yang comes in in the strongest place,” stated Sean McElwee, co-founder of Knowledge for Progress.
McElwee’s agency additionally carried out a poll for Our Metropolis, a PAC that’s fundraising to oppose Yang’s candidacy and elect somebody extra in line with its left-of-center coverage agenda. That survey, which was not launched with any candidate rankings, discovered huge assist for a progressive agenda however these findings have been a bit totally different.
Yang — who unsuccessfully ran for president on a “common primary earnings” pledge — and Adams usually are not thought-about the progressive candidates in the race; earlier this week the left-leaning Working Households Get together backed Stringer, former nonprofit CEO Dianne Morales and Wiley as its three picks.
“On the present second, a ranked-choice system won’t profit progressives,” McElwee stated. “Eric Adams appears to be the strongest in a head-to-head in opposition to Yang.”
However, he cautioned there may be nonetheless time to change the course of the race, significantly because the solely two candidates who’ve been working advertisements are polling in single digits — Wall Avenue govt Ray McGuire and former Obama and Bloomberg official Shaun Donovan. Every has a PAC spending on their behalf, although Donovan’s is causing problems for his conventional fundraising efforts.
“We’re 70 days out and no cash has been spent,” McElwee stated. “I feel this race goes to come down to promoting and earned media.”