The canines preserve barking 10 weeks into the 2021 NFL season.
Week 11 is upon us, and it truthfully wouldn’t be the worst thought to simply blindly take the factors throughout the board. After a 9-5 against-the-spread displaying in Week 10, ‘canines are 87-62-1 ATS for all the season.
Not solely that, there as soon as once more was a handful of outright wins by groups getting factors, with San Francisco, Washington, Carolina, Minnesota, Philadelphia and Miami all getting W’s. Oh, and the Lions tied the Steelers due to course.
Can we anticipate comparable canine days in Week 11? NESN.com’s Mike Cole and Ricky Doyle will attempt to navigate these unpredictable waters with their weekly ATS picks for each recreation. Earlier than attending to these, although, right here’s how they fared final week.
And listed here are their Week 11 picks with betting strains from DraftKings Sportsbook.
THURSDAY, NOV. 17
(-6.5) New England Patriots at Atlanta Falcons, 8:20 p.m. ET
Mike: Patriots. Do I believe the Patriots may beat the Falcons 20-13? In fact. That’s all it takes on this spot, so I’ll be a sq., no matter.
Ricky: Falcons. The primary quick week of Mac Jones’ NFL profession. Familiarity on the Falcons’ teaching workers, with former New England defensive coordinator Dean Pees now serving in that position for Atlanta. A traditional entice spot, with the Patriots coming off a blowout win over the Browns and a vital AFC showdown with the Titans looming in Week 12. Plus, the quantity jumped reasonably significantly, with the Falcons getting torched by the Cowboys in Week 10. Take the factors.
SUNDAY, NOV. 21
Detroit Lions at (-11) Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m.
Mike: Lions. It is perhaps Tim Boyle, not Jared Goff, below heart for Detroit. And whereas only a few folks have heard of Boyle, it must be readily obvious he’s not Goff — so he’s acquired that going for him. Baker Mayfield is also all types of banged up; this one seems like a rockfight.
Ricky: Browns. I don’t know what to anticipate from Cleveland, which is coping with numerous accidents on high of getting demolished final week by New England. However I actually don’t know what to anticipate from Boyle, a 27-year-old undrafted QB probably making his first profession NFL begin after being sidelined since Detroit’s remaining preseason recreation with a damaged thumb. Nick Chubb’s return — assuming he clears COVID protocols — must be sufficient for the Browns’ offense to recapture somewhat mojo versus a smooth opponent.
(-6) San Francisco 49ers at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m.
Mike: Jaguars. Test this out: Jacksonville has a top-10 protection (by EPA per play) since Week 8 with a top-five run protection. It’s a sneaky dangerous matchup for San Francisco, which is in a significant letdown spot on a brief week coming off an emotional divisional upset win at dwelling.
Ricky: 49ers. Unsure San Francisco is about to make a playoff push, however the Niners appeared to regain their id Monday night time in opposition to the Rams. And that id — bodily, run-centric, opportunistic — tends to journey effectively, whereas Jacksonville nonetheless has too many offensive flaws.
Indianapolis Colts at (-7) Buffalo Payments, 1 p.m.
Mike: Payments. Buffalo’s run protection has proved stout, and if it may well bottle up Jonathan Taylor — who’s accountable for greater than a 3rd of Indy’s offense — the Payments ought to be capable to pin their ears again and get after Carson Wentz. Questions in regards to the Colts’ secondary additionally linger in opposition to Josh Allen right here.
Ricky: Payments. The Colts have received 4 of their final 5 video games. Which is sweet, till you notice they’ve crushed the Dolphins (Jacoby Brissett), Texans (Davis Mills), 49ers (Jimmy Garoppolo) and Jaguars (Trevor Lawrence) — 4 groups with a mixed 12-34 SU file — in that stretch.
(-3.5) Miami Dolphins at New York Jets, 1 p.m.
Mike: Dolphins. Joe Flacco is beginning for the Jets, which is value a hearty chuckle. On the opposite facet, Tua Tagovaloia has a passer score above 100 when stored clear, and New York has generated little to no stress this season.
Ricky: Dolphins. Miami’s protection is displaying indicators of life, permitting simply 4.6 yards per play over its final three video games, the fourth-best mark within the NFL throughout that stretch. A date with the Jets ought to extend the success one other week.
Washington Soccer Crew at (-3) Carolina Panthers, 1 p.m.
Mike: Soccer Crew. One factor I neglected due to silly ATS developments was a Ron Rivera-Bruce Arians teaching matchup. Not making the identical mistake this week with two equally matched groups, particularly after I’m getting factors in opposition to the squad beginning Cam Newton with somewhat greater than every week of prep in a brand new system.
Ricky: Soccer Crew. Hope everybody loved the Cam Newton enjoyable whereas it lasted. As a result of transferring ahead, there’s no approach the fact matches the hype.
(-5) Baltimore Ravens at Chicago Bears, 1 p.m.
Mike: Ravens. Get-right spot for Baltimore, which has had additional time to stew over an unpleasant loss to the lowly Dolphins. The Ravens are nonetheless “good,” and Chicago hasn’t actually proven a capability to beat a midway first rate workforce.
Ricky: Ravens. Any kind of relaxation benefit the Bears might need because of their bye week is mitigated, to an extent, by the Ravens taking part in final Thursday night time and thereby having additional down time of their very own. And with that being the case, I’ll lean closely towards the workforce that’s higher coached.
New Orleans Saints at (-2) Philadelphia Eagles, 1 p.m.
Mike: Saints. The Eagles’ path to success is paved by the operating recreation, and New Orleans’ run protection is perhaps its largest power. To not point out: The Saints have a reasonably determined head teaching benefit with Sean Payton over Nick Sirianni.
Ricky: Saints. New Orleans’ protection ranks first in rush success fee in opposition to and first in explosive run fee in opposition to. Which is to say Jalen Hurts might want to throw the soccer — most likely in some disagreeable third-down conditions — and we noticed how that labored out earlier this season earlier than Philadelphia’s offense began going run-heavy.
Houston Texans at (-10) Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m.
Mike: Titans. Life is simply too quick to seek for ways in which Houston could make this an in depth recreation.
Ricky: Texans. Life is simply too quick to not take dangers.
(-1) Inexperienced Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings, 1 p.m.
Mike: Vikings. Scheduled loss for the Packers? Inexperienced Bay is banged up on either side of the ball, and the offense has been shaky, particularly with Aaron Rodgers below duress. Minnesota can generate a cross rush, too, so this simply seems like a irritating divisional recreation for the Packers.
Ricky: Vikings. Love the spot — a must-win recreation, at dwelling, catching factors, in a divisional matchup — and consider Minnesota’s offense might need turned a nook close to its playcalling. The Vikings have been extra aggressive of late, getting the ball into the palms of their ability gamers, and that’ll show efficient in opposition to a Packers protection coping with damage points on the sting.
(-1) Cincinnati Bengals at Las Vegas Raiders, 4:05 p.m.
Mike: Bengals. This was mainly a coin flip. These groups are not possible to determine, however I’m simply gonna financial institution on Ja’Marr Chase going nuts.
Ricky: Bengals. Each groups are trending within the mistaken course. But it doesn’t really feel just like the Bengals are liable to turning into fully unglued just like the Raiders. One other late-season collapse seems to be in full swing for Vegas.
(-2) Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks, 4:25 p.m.
Mike: Seahawks. Assuming Russell Wilson acquired some sleep this week, Seattle ought to look significantly sharper than it did in his rushed return final week at Inexperienced Bay. Arizona, in the meantime, both begins a doubtlessly hobbled Kyler Murray or Colt McCoy with a pectoral damage.
Ricky: Seahawks. OK with backing the Seahawks right here — at dwelling and getting factors — no matter who begins at quarterback for the Cardinals. Seattle’s protection has held its personal of late, and Wilson has constructed up sufficient cachet through the years to assume he’ll rebound.
Dallas Cowboys at (-2.5) Kansas Metropolis Chiefs, 4:25 p.m.
Mike: Cowboys. The numbers say the Chiefs’ protection is perhaps coming round, however they haven’t confronted an offense like Dallas’ not too long ago — or all season, actually. Stops might be arduous to come back by for KC, and I’m not able to fully purchase again in on the offense, particularly to maintain tempo with Dallas.
Ricky: Cowboys. Is Dallas’ protection higher? Sure. Is Dallas’ offense higher. Sure. And I’m getting factors? OK. This an announcement recreation for each groups, and I’m not able to overreact to Kansas Metropolis’s Week 10 win over Vegas, which stated as a lot in regards to the Raiders because it did in regards to the Chiefs.
Pittsburgh Steelers at (-5.5) Los Angeles Chargers, 8:20 p.m.
Mike: Steelers. Seemingly everybody has COVID, so it’s arduous to get a real learn on this recreation. However I do assume Pittsburgh’s floor assault, led by Najee Harris, offers the Steelers an opportunity to not simply preserve this shut however win outright in opposition to a struggling LA workforce.
Ricky: Steelers. The Chargers’ protection ranks dead-last in rush DVOA, which, to Mike’s level, ought to permit Harris to achieve traction on the bottom and preserve the ball out of Justin Herbert’s palms. The Steelers will ugly this recreation up sufficient to maintain it throughout the quantity.
MONDAY, NOV. 22
New York Giants at (-11) Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 8:15 p.m.
Mike: Giants. One thing is clearly damaged in Tampa Bay, because it sounds like there’s a rift between the quarterback and coach. Possibly they get it fastened and go on a deep run, however give me the factors right here, particularly given the Bucs’ previous primetime issues.
Ricky: Bucs. Loads of causes to again the Giants right here. They’ve confirmed pesky at instances, they’re getting more healthy and so they have a strong observe file of masking on the street below Daniel Jones. Plus, as Mike talked about, the Bucs have some issues. However I simply can’t shake the sensation of Tom Brady and Co. throwing chilly water on the supposed Tampa Bay turmoil by beating up on an inferior opponent.