1. You merely cannot declare to be a essential thinker and in addition often use empty buzz phrases like “woke mob” and “cancel tradition.” All of us have the freedom to make our personal decisions, however these decisions include penalties. And people penalties can embrace criticism from others, particularly when the alternative appears to be largely based mostly on patently incorrect info. Additionally, it’s by no means a good suggestion to cite “Letter from a Birmingham Jail” out of context.
Anyway, that’s apropos of nothing specifically. I’ve it stitched on a throw pillow and simply figured I’d share.
2. We all know he’s spectacular from a traits standpoint, and the (restricted) preseason movie we’ve on him suggests Jordan Love is completely snug with what’s requested of him in Matt LaFleur’s offense. The query is: What occurs when the Chiefs power Like to play off schedule on Sunday?
Steve Spagnuolo’s protection doesn’t do many issues effectively at the second, however they’re able to throwing disguises that make quarterbacks assume twice after the snap. The magic of Aaron Rodgers in LaFleur’s system is that he can thrive when pressured to improvise—for the entire of the Mike McCarthy years, the Packers offense was constructed round Rodgers’s skill to regulate post-snap, a capability sharpened by the 1000’s of snaps he is taken and defensive appears to be like he is seen over the years. Tape research apart, Love has by no means seen greater than some preseason shell defenses. Inexperienced Bay will certainly look to trip run recreation and protection on Sunday (Ok.C. has held up effectively against the run the previous two weeks, by the manner), however in all probability the Packers will want a number of performs from Love that he probably isn’t able to ship.
3. Whether or not you understand it or not, you want your favourite crew’s basic supervisor was Les Snead. First, Les is a heck of a robust first identify—you received’t discover many unhealthy Les’s on the market. And second, he turned two picks in the second half of the first spherical and one third-rounder (they might turn into Ok’Lavon Chaisson, Travis Etienne and Jordan Smith) into the greatest cornerback in soccer; he turned three extra picks, additionally prone to fall exterior the high half of the first spherical, into an MVP-caliber quarterback; and now he’s turned two Day 2 picks into Von Miller.
This isn’t a screed against the worth of draft picks. However it’s a reminder that, as good as it’s to have younger gamers on these restricted-earning rookie-wage-scale contracts, even first-round picks are a 50/50 proposition to hit. Most basic managers round the league would acknowledge that, but few are prepared to show that draft capital right into a star veteran, as a result of a win-now strategy means your strikes should lead to wins. Now.
The trail to job safety for roster-builders has more and more turn into hoarding draft picks. That’s due to the aforementioned absurdity of the rookie wage scale and the multitude of cheapskate house owners who’d fairly not pay market worth for labor with a view to be aggressive. It’s additionally as a result of many followers have embraced a weird form of draft-pick fetishism. And maybe greater than something, it’s as a result of it permits a GM who is perhaps in over his head to argue that the draft picks, and the gamers chosen with them, want time to develop, and subsequently the GM ought to maintain his job till some unspecified time in the future although most struggling younger gamers normally simply flip into struggling not-as-young gamers.
Snead’s teaching employees provides him margin for error—growing is simply as essential as drafting, and the Rams develop their younger gamers in addition to any employees in the league, permitting them to load up on Day 3 picks and discover contributors to fill out the roster round their superstars. The Rams haven’t picked in Spherical 1 since 2016 and aren’t scheduled to take action once more till ’24. However there’s just about no probability the gamers the Rams would have chosen with these draft picks would have equaled the worth of Jalen Ramsey, Matthew Stafford and Von Miller. Snead is doing what each GM in the NFL is meant to be doing: Turning draft capital into star gamers at premium positions.
4. I’ve to assume that being a Texans fan is loads like going to see the animated function movie Rock Canine, then a number of years later going to see Rock Canine 2: Rock Round the Park. The unique Rock Canine had all types of star energy: Luke Wilson, J.Ok. Simmons, Mae Whitman who’s simply fantastic, Eddie Izzard—Sam Elliott for god sakes! Then the sequel comes out, and none of these individuals are in it,* and the plot is one thing a couple of very massive sheep stealing a magical guitar… I’m not likely certain and nobody even bothered to make a Wikipedia web page for it so I can’t even faux I do know what I’m speaking about. And that title. It’s a play on “Rock Round the Clock”? That doesn’t land in any respect. One is coping with time, the different a location. [exasperated sigh]
Equally, two years in the past the Texans had been in the midst of a second-straight division-title season, they’d a younger franchise quarterback in place, the greatest receiver in soccer, an NFL legend main the protection… now, the sequel is out. A journeyman backup and a too-green third-round rookie as the quarterback choices, nobody on the defensive aspect of the ball you’d actually establish as a constructing block, and not a lot to point out for the first yr of the rebuild.
It was going to be a misplaced yr for the Texans, one that will be measured much less in victories and extra in the improvement of younger gamers and assortment of future property. However the season has been a disappointment on that depend too. First-year GM Nick Caserio loaded up on veteran free-agents on short-term contracts, absolutely with the considered flipping them for draft picks. However at the commerce deadline, he was solely capable of transfer Mark Ingram (for a 2024 seventh-rounder) and Charles Omenihu, a holdover from the earlier regime (for a ’23 sixth-rounder). Meaning the solely decide they’ve added higher than a sixth-rounder is CB Bradley Roby, one other holdover who drew a ’22 third and sixth from the Saints. And after a variety of doubtful swaps for bottom-of-the-roster gamers, a few of whom have already been minimize, Houston’s draft capital scorebook is as follows:
2022: Gained a third-rounder and two sixth-rounders, misplaced a fifth-rounder
2023: Gained two sixth-rounders, probably one other sixth-rounder relying on the situations of the Roby deal, probably a seventh-rounder if CB John Reid performs three extra video games in Seattle
2024: Gained a seventh-rounder
Comp picks are nonetheless a risk relying on how the offseason performs out, however (1) It might require restraint in including free brokers to an already barren roster, and (2) It might require different groups signing Houston free brokers to important contracts. And that’s the downside with a teardown of this magnitude. The Texans are so devoid of expertise, and the on-field product is such a large number, that it’s practically unimaginable for any participant to appear to be a fascinating potential free agent, even when such a participant exists on this group.
*—Disclaimer: Each member of the forged and crew who labored on Rock Canine 2: Rock Round the Park has far surpassed me in skilled success. And doubtless in private success as effectively.
5. Odell Beckham Jr. is already independently rich, and he’ll theoretically be happier with whichever crew he lands with subsequent. And whether or not an sad participant orchestrating his launch by means of surrogates fairly than talking for himself is one thing to be celebrated or frowned upon, there may be a variety of outcomes for Beckham’s subsequent contract.
Beckham was undoubtedly one in every of the 5 greatest receivers in soccer—legitimately in the dialog for No. 1—as just lately as 2018, and he’s nonetheless on the proper aspect of 30. On the different hand there’s his prolonged harm historical past; his subpar 2021 movie (the quarterback’s missed alternatives apart); the proven fact that—for no matter cause—the Browns’ quarterback and their offense had been objectively higher in the second half of 2020 when Beckham was sidelined; and the proven fact that Beckham has now had a nasty breakup with two organizations.
However the largest issue working against Beckham is the proven fact that the NFL is now virtually oversaturated with gifted younger receivers. Attributable to the offensive trickle-up impact that has fueled the quarterback renaissance, there might be a 3rd straight bumper crop of receivers accessible in subsequent spring’s draft. And whereas Beckham—if wholesome—is a confirmed commodity, if introduced with the choice of paying him eight figures or getting a younger receiver on an artificially suppressed rookie contract, most groups will certainly select the latter.
The closest case research we’ve is perhaps Julio Jones, who didn’t have a lot of a commerce market final offseason. Jones was two-and-a-half years older final offseason than Beckham might be this offseason, however his harm historical past was not fairly as in depth as Beckham’s. Greater than that, Jones had earned a fame as a consummate skilled, a locker-room gem any crew would need to maintain up for example of the type of participant they’ll reward. Beckham’s fame is… not that. Which is why the prospect of him taking part in on a sequence of one-year offers is not that farfetched.
6. Taysom Hill was all the time the Saints’ future, whether or not it was going to be a platoon of an outright promotion to QB1. Contemplating their protection’s skill to dominate a recreation, there’s no cause New Orleans shouldn’t have explored prolonged quarterback snaps for Hill as an alternative of a near-full complement of snaps for Jameis Winston, particularly contemplating their lack of high quality receivers. Hill in an 11-man run recreation has an opportunity to control this offense, and he proved final yr that he can present an occasional deep-passing component (or, at the least the menace of 1).
7. Girls and gents . . . R.E.M.!
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