From Cincyfan (@Darktraveler1): The place may [Aaron] Rodgers go that would be higher than GB? appears they’re finest positioned to win over different groups.
Cincy, thanks! This can be a level I’ve been making because the spring—I do not suppose there’s a greater soccer state of affairs for Rodgers anyplace. That was the case then, it’s the case now, and I believe it’ll be the case once we get to the offseason. The irony, in fact, is the man that Rodgers has been at odds with, GM Brian Gutekunst, is answerable for it; that roster is well-rounded, it’s deep, and it’s arrange for a veteran quarterback.
The flip facet right here is that the Packers have some cap gymnastics to do after this yr. They venture to be manner over the $208.2 million restrict. Davante Adams, De’Vondre Campbell and Robert Tonyan are scheduled to be free brokers (although the latter two ought to be comparatively reasonably priced). On high of that, if the Packers and Rodgers had been to resume vows it would must be with a brand new contract, and that gained’t be low cost both.
However you inform me the place the higher state of affairs is, of the groups that shall be wanting. Seattle? The Giants? Miami? Carolina? Philly? The 2 I would possibly purchase are Denver and Cleveland, groups that might be what Denver was to Peyton Manning or Tampa was to Tom Brady. The distinction right here is Manning and Brady had been taking part in for groups that had rosters about to crumble. Rodgers isn’t in that spot. Which suggests continuity would be one other plus for Inexperienced Bay.
Now, if Rodgers simply needs to play elsewhere, or if he needs to dwell in a sure a part of the nation moderately than in Wisconsin, then that’s a unique dialogue. Based mostly on soccer alone? Inexperienced Bay was the perfect spot for him, with out query, in 2021, and as long as the Packers are prepared to do a number of issues cap-wise and contract-wise to assist him, it certain seems to be prefer it’ll be the perfect spot for him in 2022, too.
From Mike Woodford (@DFlutieBB): If Rodgers finally ends up traded, what package will the Packers get again?
Mike, it’d be a haul. Publish-draft, there have been 4 groups nonetheless sniffing round on a blockbuster quarterback trade: Philly, Carolina, Denver and Miami. I don’t see why any of these 4 wouldn’t be within the working once more, and also you’ll have others now, too. Seattle might be within the combine if Russell Wilson’s gone. Derek Carr has been nice, however he’ll be going right into a contract yr, and Rodgers confirmed earlier curiosity within the Raiders. The Giants? The Browns?
After which there are groups you wouldn’t anticipate. Bear in mind, in 2012 nobody was speaking concerning the Broncos being a participant within the Manning sweepstakes—they’d a first-round decide on the place who’d simply gained a playoff recreation. Then they had been, and you understand the remaining.
I’m detailing all of that to say, the potential for a bunch of bidders would drive the worth north. That Rodgers is just not below contract previous 2022 would be an element going within the different path, so it’s slightly difficult. However for the sake of the train, let’s decide Denver out of the hat and put a package collectively. If the season ended right this moment, the Broncos would have the thirteenth decide within the draft. The Packers would have the aforementioned cap issues. So …
Broncos get: QB Aaron Rodgers, 2022 seventh-round decide, 2023 fourth-round decide.
Packers get: 2022 first-round decide (thirteenth general), 2023 first-round decide, 2024 first-round decide, 2022 second-round decide, 2022 second-round decide (from Rams), QB Drew Lock, TE Albert Okwuebunam, WR Ok.J. Hamler.
My reasoning right here on the Packers return: They get an affordable, younger, proficient quarterback to push Jordan Love (keep in mind, they drafted Brian Brohm and Matt Flynn the yr after Brett Favre’s first retirement to compete with Rodgers), plus two promising younger guys on rookie contracts. And, in fact, the mountain of picks is self-explanatory, with three top-60 picks this yr, plus two future first-rounders and one other future top-100 decide within the combine. It’s a bounty. However Rodgers makes Denver a title contender immediately.
As for Denver’s return, getting a decide this yr and a decide subsequent yr means your internet loss in picks quantity is lessened to 2 this yr, one in 2023, and one in 2024, and having quantity of picks will assist even out a roster that’s more likely to be top-heavy on the cap with Rodgers in a position to entice stars to city, and guys already on the roster more likely to ascend with him and, thus, command massive contracts.
It’s enjoyable to consider, that’s for certain. That stated, I believe the Packers are successful the Tremendous Bowl. And in the event that they do, it stands to cause that Rodgers gained’t wind up going anyplace.
From Houston “no matter” Soccer (@Houstonfootbal3): Is it reasonable to anticipate a HC change in HOU, or at the very least a shakeup of the offensive teaching workers? Apologies when you have answered this already in your MAQB 🙂 Merry Christmas AB.
Houston, these are fascinating instances for the Texans. GM Nick Caserio goes to return out of his first season in Houston with greater than $40 million in 2022 cap area, and the chance he’ll clear round $24.2 million with the trade of Deshaun Watson, and a full complement of draft picks on the high of each spherical, with further picks within the third and sixth rounds, plus no matter Watson brings dwelling in a deal.
After which there’s this: When nobody was wanting, and with out picks within the first two rounds final April, the Texans in some way have assembled a fairly spectacular rookie class, with Davis Mills, Brevin Jordan, Nico Collins, Roy Lopez and Garret Wallow having flashed the potential to be actual items for the longer term.
Now, have they got a protracted method to go? Completely they do. However all of the above units the desk for an offseason that might be an actual turning level for the franchise. And with that in thoughts, I’ll provide you with two issues that I’ve heard: One, rumblings have held that Caserio has an thought who his subsequent coach would be (and that doesn’t imply, essentially, that he’d must go get that man this yr); two, for the primary time since San Francisco practically employed them each in 2017, I’ve heard Josh McDaniels and Caserio may need an curiosity in working collectively.
It’s fascinating, as a result of the 2 have identified one another since they had been youngsters—Caserio truly beat McDaniels out in a QB competitors at John Carroll (which turned McDaniels right into a receiver). They labored collectively for 17 seasons in New England (2001–08, 2012–20). At one level, Caserio was McDaniels’s receivers coach. Extra just lately, Caserio was in McDaniels’s ear on the offensive headsets. (It’s additionally price noting that Houston EVP Jack Easterby was slated to go together with McDaniels to Indy in 2018 earlier than that deal fell aside.)
May this all come collectively in January? I don’t know for certain. However I do suppose that if there’s a long-term reply Caserio is eyeing for the head-coaching spot in Houston, having that man on board for what seems to be to be a fairly essential offseason would be preferable. And whereas that’s too dangerous for Culley—a very good man who waited perpetually for his shot, and has been an asset for the franchise via a tricky yr—typically you gotta do what you gotta do.
From Sandy Perea (@66problemz): 49ers win SB, do they nonetheless trade Jimmy G?
Sandy, that is the one state of affairs the place I would say no. In the event that they fall in need of that, primarily based on historical past, it’s arduous to see the place they wouldn’t flip the web page.
In 2011, the Titans redshirted Jake Locker, and Matt Hasselbeck performed nicely in entrance of him. Tennessee turned to Locker the subsequent yr anyway, and launched Hasselbeck after the 2012 season. In 2017, Alex Smith was glorious with Patrick Mahomes within the bullpen. And that didn’t trigger the Chiefs to hesitate—Smith was traded earlier than January 2018 was out. Final yr, it went the opposite manner, in fact, with the Packers sticking with Rodgers over Love. However Rodgers was the MVP of the league, heading up a win-now roster. And … it’s Rodgers.
I actually do like Jimmy Garoppolo as a quarterback greater than most. You may win with him, and the Niners completely did the proper factor in hanging on to him and giving Trey Lance a yr to acclimate to the professionals. I believe he’ll proceed to be a strong beginning quarterback nicely past this yr. But when he’s nonetheless beginning for the Niners in 2022? I’d say it’d be arduous to not see that as a purple flag on Lance’s growth.
From Richard Addy (@addytheyounger): Given Jimmy Garoppolo’s efficiency in SF’s latest wins, was it a mistake to trade picks for Trey Lance, and if 49ers are in a Tremendous Bowl window, would they’ve been higher served taking a CB e.g. Patrick Surtain?
Effectively, Richard, we truly can wind again the clock on this one—in the event that they’d caught at 12, they’d have had a number of fascinating choices.
In that state of affairs, The 2 corners that everybody liked, Jaycee Horn and Patrick Surtain, would’ve been gone at 12. Additionally, in that state of affairs, possibly the Eagles stick at 6, and take Jaylen Waddle the place the Dolphins did. Which means, doubtlessly, Micah Parsons goes to Dallas at 10 and the Giants don’t trade out of 11, as a result of they’d deliberate to take DeVonta Smith there. Or the Eagles take Smith at 6, and the Giants get Waddle at 11.
Both manner, that’d go away the Niners in a captivating spot—with the choice to take Justin Fields, Mac Jones or trade out. On the time, each the Vikings and Bears (and the Saints had been on the periphery of this as nicely) had an curiosity in transferring up for Fields, with the Bears clearly being the crew that made the transfer up. The Niners may’ve taken bids from these groups, and possibly even drawn the Patriots in, or caught and picked somebody like Rashawn Slater or Ali Vera-Tucker to play guard for them.
In the event that they traded down? Perhaps they’re taking Caleb Farley or Najee Harris.
Anyway, batting all this round is enjoyable. And actually, whether or not or not the Niners did the proper factor boils down as to if or not they had been proper on Lance. As a result of if he turns into what suppose he can change into, even discussing the entire above actually is a waste of breath. If he doesn’t, nicely, then it’ll wind up costing individuals jobs. That’s simply the sport the Niners selected to play after they made that transfer up.
From Joshua Schelberg (@SchelbergJoshua): What do you suppose will occur with Russell Wilson given the misplaced Seahawks season?
Joshua, I’m beginning to suppose this one’s over. Wilson had points with how the Seahawks had been constructed after they had been making the playoffs eight instances in 9 years—that’s the place they had been on the finish of final yr. And a part of his motivation for making an attempt to push his manner out of city final yr was concern over his legacy, and the way issues had been arrange for him to pursue championship. So within the midst of the primary dropping season of his profession, what, precisely, would’ve made him change his thoughts on that?
The reality is, I’m not so certain it’s not simply time for a clear break all the best way round. Wilson is 33 now, and has two years left on his contract. With these two years locked in at simply $50 million, he ought to very tradable, extra so than he would be in 2023 going right into a contract yr. And in case you’re assuming that is the final contract Wilson will play on in Seattle—and that’s been the belief of many for a while—what are you holding him round for?
If the Seahawks had been near a championship, that would be one factor. They aren’t. A lot of their core is ageing—Duane Brown is 36, Bobby Wagner is 31, Tyler Lockett is 29—and younger constructing blocks are few and much between. D.Ok. Metcalf is one. Jamal Adams, even when he’s flawed as a participant, is one other. Previous these two? It’s slim pickings.
So the concept of reset, I’d suppose, would enchantment to GM John Schneider, and what Wilson would usher in a trade would set Seattle up for that. A yr in the past, I used to be vehement that Schneider shouldn’t deal Wilson, that the crew was in far an excessive amount of of a win-now posture to stroll away from an in-prime franchise quarterback. Since then, the wheels have fallen off. And so if I’m the Seahawks, given the spot they’re in, I’m most likely doing what Detroit did final yr, and exploring an amicable separation from a man who’s meant a lot to the crew and metropolis. It’s time.
From Not who you suppose I’m (@DonRidenour): Do you suppose [Brian] Daboll is perhaps in bother in Buffalo if the offense doesn’t enhance? Have a terrific Christmas Albert and thank for all you do!
Merry Christmas, Don! I believe the Payments are in an fascinating spot with their offensive coordinator. Brian Daboll has achieved an unimaginable job the final three years growing Josh Allen right into a bona fide franchise quarterback—and maximizing the immense potential that he so clearly introduced into the NFL. And if the Payments had continued on the trail they had been on coming into this season, I believe Daboll would be the place Arthur Smith and Robert Saleh had been going into final yr’s hiring cycle, as a man who everybody would have on their record.
Issues haven’t performed out that manner. Poised for a monster season, Allen has had his ups and downs this yr, and the Payments’ run recreation has been rickety to place it evenly. It’s gotten higher of late. However the lack of dedication to constructing a balanced offense has uncovered points on the offensive line, with defenses pinning their pass-rushers’ ears again to get after Allen and, in flip, bringing again, in spots, the wild-child Allen of 2018 and ’19.
You could possibly argue the shortage of an actual run recreation has additionally affected the Payments protection, since that is what Buffalo was practising towards in the summertime, leaving guys on that facet of the ball much less calloused to resist the pains to strapping it up towards the Indys and New Englands of the AFC.
Now, do I believe Sean McDermott will hearth Daboll, if Daboll doesn’t land a head-coaching job elsewhere? Most likely not. However realizing what I find out about how McDermott needs to construct a crew, I’d guess if the failings on offense show deadly for the Payments, there shall be a really actual emphasis on getting harder and extra bodily all the best way round within the offseason. And that must begin with how the roster is augmented, and the way Daboll tweaks his offense.
From Jeff (@1975Rams): Now that we’re in December, how do you are feeling concerning the new playoff format? Has it elevated the extent of late-season pleasure for extra fan bases? Will we see a watered down the playoff product? Will any of the potential seventh seeds have an opportunity of a playoff win(s)?
Jeff, I truly appreciated the 12-team format, as a result of I believe it’s cool that it’s more durable to get into the NFL playoffs than it’s the NBA or NHL playoffs. And I truthfully thought going into final yr that it’d actually trouble me, having the seventh crew in every convention. However actually, I didn’t even give it a lot of a thought that the Bears and Colts had been in and wouldn’t have made it in earlier years. Because it stands proper now, these two groups this yr would be the Payments and Vikings, and I wouldn’t be in an uproar over that both.
Additionally, the first-round matchups for Buffalo and Minnesota would be, respectively, the Patriots and Cowboys. And I wouldn’t completely rule out upsets in both of these video games.
So if I’m summing it up, I’m form of detached to the 14-team format. It doesn’t add a ton to the playoffs for me (and clearly it’s a plainly-obvious cash seize by the homeowners), but it surely doesn’t actually get me labored up like I believed it would. It’s wonderful.
From Matt Ramas (@matt_ramas): Which crew do you suppose will draft Kenny Pickett? How good a Professional will he be?
Matt, I believe Mac Jones’s success in Yr 1 completely helps Kenny Pickett—even when their video games aren’t completely alike (Pickett is extra improvisational, whereas Jones is a surgeon again there). Having somebody who lacks a bodily superpower succeed early (it had been some time) ought to assist the Heisman finalist from Pitt. I, for one, am excited to see how the scouts see him popping out of Senior Bowl week.
As for the place he lands? Taking a look at tankathon.com, I see Carolina at 7, Washington at 10, and Pittsburgh at 17 as groups that form of leap out as potential touchdown spots. The Steelers are a enjoyable one, in fact, on condition that they share a follow facility with Pitt. And I believe that spot, seventeenth general, might be the place you’d see actual worth in Pickett. It’s in that vary the place groups, to make certain, noticed worth in Jones, and in the end it’s the place he went.
For now, I would say that Pickett might be the chief within the clubhouse to be the primary quarterback taken, in a really shaky yr draft-wise on the place.
From Tom Marshall (@aredzonauk): Will groups contemplate coming into a “bubble” for the playoffs?
Tom, I don’t suppose the league goes to pressure groups into bubbles. However I completely may see groups doing it on their very own, to try to protect a aggressive benefit. And that would make a distinction all the best way to Tremendous Bowl week—with the league planning to maintain the groups dwelling till the Thursday or Friday earlier than the sport, moderately than have them in Los Angeles for the entire week, as was at all times the case pre-COVID.
From Mick Johnston (@AirJohnston1): Are you aware the timeframe for Washington’s title change?
Sure! Mick, the plan is to roll out the brand new branding in early 2022.
From Playing Avenger (@GamblingAvenge1): What is your favorite Christmas film?
Playing, primarily based in your spelling of favorite, I’d guess that is coming from Canada—so Merry Christmas from down South, and the one reply to that query is Christmas Trip. Particularly since Die Onerous isn’t a Christmas film.
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