Week 13 of the 2021 NFL season concludes on Monday night time with a implausible AFC East matchup as Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills play host to Mac Jones and the Patriots.
New England, which sits in first place within the division with an 8-4 straight up (SU) report, have additionally rewarded bettors with an equivalent 8-4 in opposition to the unfold (ATS) mark. The Patriots, who’re 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS on the highway, will look to increase their six-game successful streak in opposition to their division rival.
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On the flip aspect, Buffalo has posted a 7-4 SU report, whereas proudly owning a 6-4-1 ATS mark over that span. The Bills, who’ve posted a 2-1 SU and ATS mark in latest weeks with wins over New Orleans and Jets, haven’t overwhelmed a crew with a successful report since Week 5 at Kansas Metropolis. The truth is, that win over the Chiefs stands because the solely victory Buffalo has over a crew with a successful report all season.
The query for bettors turns into this: Are you prepared to wager in opposition to Invoice Belichick when he faces the Buffalo Bills? Since turning into head coach of the Patriots in 2000, Belichick has a 35-7 report (.833) in opposition to Buffalo.
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New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Traits and Information
Unfold: New England Patriots +3 (-110) | Buffalo Bills -3 (-110)
Moneyline: New England (+120) | Buffalo (-145)
Complete: 40.5– Over (-110) | Below 40.5 (-110)
Public (Unfold) Betting Percentages: NE 43% | BUF 57%
Sport Information: Monday Dec. 6, 2021 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN
Editor’s Be aware – Odds are topic to vary
The road has held regular in favor of Buffalo (7-4 SU; 6-4-1 ATS) over New England (8-4 SU; 8-4 ATS) as 3-point residence favorites at SI Sportsbook. The most important motion has concerned the sport whole, as each public and revered cash are aligned on backing a low scoring affair. The entire, which opened at 44, has been pushed right down to 40.5 following the overwhelming steam that protection will dominate this end result in Week 13.
The Patriots head to Buffalo trying to lengthen their six-game successful streak as rookie quarterback Mac Jones has been completely stellar. In his first season, Jones has led New England with poise past his years. The Patriots, regardless of missing any star offensive expertise when it comes to fantasy manufacturing, rank seventh in scoring with 28.0 factors per sport.
On the opposite aspect of the ball, Josh Allen pilots an explosive offensive assault that ranks second in scoring, averaging 29.6 factors per sport. Allen, who has eight landing passes over the past three video games, might battle in opposition to a Patriots protection that ranks second in opposition to the cross, permitting a paltry 200.9 passing yards per sport.
New England Player Prop Information
New England will characteristic a strong operating assault with a trio that consists of Damien Harris, Rhamondre Stevenson and Brandon Bolden. Harris has been very good this season with a dashing landing in eight of 11 video games he has performed in. Hitting at a 73% clip, Harris is a lovely funding within the “Anytime Landing” market at odds of +150.
Within the passing sport, the Patriots provide a trio of solid-but-not-spectacular wideouts in Jakobi Meyers, Kendrick Bourne and Nelson Agholor. Meyers has the strongest projection within the participant proposition receiving market with a requirement of 41.5 yards. Meyers, who leads the membership in targets (90), has surpassed this quantity in eight of 12 video games this season. As I at all times stress, comply with the quantity and you’ll return to the betting window.
Buffalo Player Prop Information
On the opposite aspect of the ball, Buffalo will attempt to reward bettors after failing to cowl the unfold the final time they have been at residence, two weeks in the past in opposition to the Colts. In that matchup, the Bills have been dominated, 41-15, as 7-point residence favorites.
As is at all times the case, fantasy managers can be relying on sturdy manufacturing from star wideout Stefon Diggs. The veteran receiving goal has a game-high reception yardage projection of 60.5 posted at SI Sportsbook. Diggs has surpassed this projection in seven of 11 video games. Diggs, who has 4 touchdowns in his final three video games, has scored three touchdowns in three profession video games in opposition to the Patriots. Revered cash backed Diggs to attain on Thanksgiving in opposition to the Saints and are going again to the nicely as soon as once more at odds of +165.
Frankie’s Monday Night Football Play
The Bills received each matchups final season in opposition to the Patriots after dropping seven consecutive conferences relationship again to 2016. We all know that Belichick owns an astounding report in opposition to Buffalo, whereas traditionally being one of many strongest groups to again within the month of December. Identical to we noticed with Nick Saban and Alabama, sports activities bettors don’t usually get to seize Belichick within the function of underdog. Let’s seize the factors.
BET: New England +3 (-110)
Damien Harris, RB, New England: Anytime Touchdown +150
Stefon Diggs, WR, Buffalo: Anytime Touchdown +170
Jakobi Meyers, WR, New England: Over 41.5 Receiving Yards
SI BET REVIEW
2021 SI Betting Monday Night Football: 6-6 ATS / Props 11-11 +2.15 models
2021 SI Betting NFL Football General YTD: 36-29 ATS & Props +9.02 Items
2020 SI Betting NFL Football: 72-58-1 ATS (55%)