Hopefully, the circus surrounding the horse racing business is not going to tarnish the second leg of the Triple Crown this weekend. Coach Bob Baffert acknowledged that Kentucky Derby winner Medina Spirit was handled with Otomax following a flare-up of dermatitis after the Santa Anita Derby. The remedy comprises the banned remedy betamethasone – which may have led to Medina Spirit testing constructive following his win within the Run for the Roses.
As part of an agreement reached late Tuesday, Baffert will permit Maryland Jockey Membership officers to conduct rigorous testing and monitoring main as much as submit time.
With all of the scrutiny round Medina Spirit, the Preakness Stakes is anticipated to have a area of 10 entrants.
NBC will televise dwell protection of the 146th operating of the Preakness on Saturday.
Medina Spirit (9/5) will likely be breaking from submit No. 3 and put in because the prohibitive morning-line favourite within the $1 million Preakness.
Concert Tour (5/2), who has not run since a stunning third-place end within the Arkansas Derby (G1), is arguably a significant menace to Medina Spirit breaking from submit No. 10.
Midnight Bourbon (5/1), who completed sixth within the Kentucky Derby, drew submit No. 5 and is listed because the third betting selection at odds of 5-1.
Chad Brown’s lightly-raced Crowded Trade (10/1) slots in because the fourth betting selection of all of the newcomers within the area.
Preakness Stakes Betting Angles/Tendencies
- High coach Bob Baffert, amongst all of the distractions, has an opportunity to make historical past as soon as once more. After turning into the all-time successful coach in Kentucky Derby historical past, the much-maligned coach has an opportunity to turn out to be the all-time main coach in Preakness historical past as he seems to be so as to add to his seven victories. He may have two pictures at taking sole possession of the leaderboard with Medina Spirit and Live performance Tour.
PACE MAKES RACE: PREFERRED RUNNING STYLES
The tempo of the race must be sizzling and heavy as Concert Tour, Medina Spirit, and Midnight Bourbon ought to all be forwardly positioned and vie for the early lead. The dialogue as to who will acquire the early lead and turn out to be the lone pacesetter is well up for debate.
The query then turns into, can any of the newcomers come from mid-pack and shut right into a tempo meltdown that would develop among the many high three horses? One essential betting angle all bettors ought to pay attention to is 4 of the final 12 Preakness winners have received using gate-to-wire operating types.
Who will cross the end line first? Let’s check out the percentages and dive deeper into this race.
Preakness Stakes (G1)
- Racetrack: Pimlico – Baltimore, Maryland
- Date: Saturday, Could 15, 2021
- Purse: $1,000,000
- Distance: 1 3/16 mile, Dust
- Race: 13
- Put up Time: 6:47 p.m. EST / 3:47 PST
- TV: NBC
HORSES OF NOTE
(Listed by submit quantity, title, and odds)
#8 Medina Spirit (9/5) – Block out all of the noise as a result of my components, which was highest on Medina Spirit to win the Kentucky Derby, is as soon as once more highest on him versus arguably a a lot weaker area. On paper, this son of Prontico will probably be gunned to the lead as soon as once more by John Velazquez, who will look to be the lone pacesetter. We might be taking a look at one other win from a proficient horse who has run first or second in all six profession races. High Alternative
#5 Midnight Bourbon (5/1) – This son of Tiznow seemed nice in his win within the Lecomte Stakes and was very constant – earlier than his sixth-place end within the Kentucky Derby – hitting the board in all seven of his earlier profession races. Coach Steve Asmussen switches to Irad Ortiz within the irons for the Preakness Stakes. This colt appears to rank as the largest menace to Median Spirit if he can land a greater journey than he obtained within the Derby. Contender
#10 Concert Tour (5/2) – Live performance Tour, who was scratched from the Derby, was seen ending third within the Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn Park again on April 4 after discovering the winners circle within the first three begins of his profession – highlighted by wins within the Insurgent and San Vicente Stakes. Earlier than the clunker within the Arkansas Derby, he was the “speak” of the Derby futures. I’m not a fan of the surface draw, however the truth that Baffert has entered him towards Medina Spirit makes him a should use. Menace
Double-Digit Board Crashers
#6 Rombauer (12/1) – Rombauer posted his greatest pace determine final out however nonetheless completed third at odds of 24-1 behind Important High quality and Extremely Motivated within the Blue Grass Stakes again in April. He nonetheless earned a 100 Equibase Pace Determine regardless of being bumped and being compromised on the opening break. High Longshot
#9 Risk Taking (15/1) – This son of Medaglia D’ Oro was a powerful winner within the Withers Stakes again in February however then adopted up with a disappointing seventh-place end within the Wooden Memorial. After bobbling initially, he by no means appeared to get better within the Wooden however, with a clear break, poses as a pretty goal for unique tickets. Exotics
#7 France Go de Ina (30/1) – Upon preliminary look, this was a horse I used to be trying to toss on Saturday after his sixth-place end within the UAE Derby abroad in March. Nonetheless, on account of his most well-liked racing model near the tempo, he might be primed to hit the board at an enormous quantity. High Moonshot
Preakness Stakes Formulation Rankings
- #3 Medina Spirit
- #5 Midnight Bourbon
- #10 Live performance Tour
Exacta, Trifecta Gamers
- #6 Rombauer**
- #9 Danger Taking
- #7 France Go de Ina
BY THE NUMBERS: EQUIBASE TOP SPEED FIGURES
Preakness Stakes Betting Breakdown
This race will boil down as to whether Medina Spirit can win the second leg of the Triple Crown regardless of all of the distractions and not having Baffert’s guiding hand trackside. I envision 5/2 or greater on Medina Spirit at post-time as many will look to play towards him, which is able to work in our favor. My high play is #3 Medina Spirit (9/5) who I’ll use with #5 Midnight Bourbon (5/1), #10 Live performance Tour (5/2), and #6 Rombauer (12/1). On account of both poor kind or numbers constantly decrease than the contenders, I will likely be tossing #1 Ram and #2 Keepmeinmind off all tickets.
TOP Exacta Field: 3-5-10-6-9
TOP Trifecta Half-Wheel: 3 with 5,6,9,10 with 5,6,9,10
BOMBS AWAY Trifecta SPREAD Half-Wheel: 5,6,9 / 3,5,6,7,9,10 / 3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10
- COST: $50-cent wager: $27
WIN BETS: #8 Medina Spirit (ONLY at Odds of two/1 or greater)
***Could look so as to add win wagers on Rombauer at odds of 14-1 or greater in addition to Danger Taking at odds of 17/1 or greater**
All wagers show ticket price. All bettors ought to regulate wager quantities based mostly upon bankroll
Over the course of 2020 and into 2021, our Senior Playing Analyst and Vegas Insider- Frankie Taddeo – has shared his horse racing handicapping components which has appropriately predicted the next winners at SI Playing:
Travers Stakes – Exacta (8/1), Trifecta (36/1)
Blue Grass Stakes – Exacta (12/1), Trifecta (60/1) and Superfecta (443/1)
Frizette Stakes – Exacta Chilly
Desi Arnaz Stakes – Exacta (31/1)
Ontario Derby – Trifecta (72/1)
Tropical Turf Stakes – Trifecta (37/1) – 2021*
Insurgent Stakes – Live performance Tour – Winner
Kentucky Derby – Medina Spirit (13/1) & Exacta (251/1)
MORE PREAKNESS STAKES COVERAGE: