Earlier 2021 PGA Tour Occasion Winners & DraftKings Wage
- Farmers Insurance coverage Open: Patrick Reed ($10,100)
- The American Categorical: Si Woo Kim ($8,200)
- Sony Open: Kevin Na ($7,500)
- Sentry Match of Champions: Harris English ($8,700)
- RSM Traditional: Robert Streb ($6,300)
- The Masters: Dustin Johnson ($10,000)
- Vivint Houston Open: Carlos Ortiz ($6,700)
- Bermuda Championship: Brian Homosexual ($6,300)
- Zozo Championship: Patrick Cantlay ($9,400)
- CJ Cup at Shadow Creek: Jason Kokrak ($7,000)
- Shriners Hospitals for Youngsters Open: Martin Laird ($6,400)
- Sanderson Farms Championship: Sergio Garcia ($8,600)
- Corales Puntacana Resort & Membership Championship: Hudson Swafford ($6,700)
- U.S. Open: Bryson DeChambeau ($9,900)
- Safeway Open: Stewart Cink ($6,300)
Ben Heisler: Jon Rahm
DraftKings Price: $11,200
I already know what most of you might be considering as I prop up the heavy favourite for this week’s occasion in Rahm. It most likely seems to be one thing like this:
This is the factor. I’ve by no means had as a lot conviction with Rahm as I do for this event presently, and I picked Rahm to win the BMW Championship final 12 months!
He is completed within the high 7 4 consecutive tournaments, ranks third in each strokes gained: whole in addition to off-the-tee, and the swap over to Callaway golf equipment has been a non-difficulty. Rahm has completed no worse than seventeenth at this event over the past 4 years, whereas gaining practically 31 whole strokes within the course of. He is an Arizona State graduate taking part in simply exterior of the place he went to high school. TRUST THIS PROCESS.
If I did not assume he’s profitable this weekend’s Waste Management Open, we’re not even discussing his identify due to the exorbitant value that comes together with him. Run with Rahm.
Rory McIlroy ($10,600): +1150 – First time taking part in at TPC Scottsdale, however course matches his recreation completely and performed nicely in his first spherical again at Torrey Pines final week
Daniel Berger ($9,600): +1700 – Quietly taking part in wonderful golf in January with two high 10 finishes in Hawaii on the TOC and Sony. A two week break has him out of sight, out of thoughts for a lot of DFS gamers and bettors.
Mark Farris: Sungjae Im
DraftKings Price: $9,400
That is one among my favourite tournaments. Nonetheless, a part of what made it my favourite was the drunken crowd on 16 that turned golf right into a PGA model of Shaq making an attempt to shoot free throws with hundreds of individuals yelling.
There may be plenty of good inventory to select from on this vary. All are authentic performs, however I feel we should always go together with somebody in addition to the highest 4. All of that are viable and good performs, however, as standard, pricing limits you. Sungjae continues to be a minimize machine. Sure, he pulled a Patrick Reed on the again 9 on Sunday after a 31 on the entrance, however he once more confirmed his scoring prowess and these fairways aren’t as laborious to hit as Torrey; neither is the tough as penal.
For these of you that like patterns, listed below are Sungjae’s finishes since November 2020: T50-T2-CUT-T5-T56-T12-T32. See the sample?
Outdoors the highest 30, inside the highest 15, T32 final week results in high 15 this week. Plus, he was T7 right here in 2019 and T34 final 12 months. Once more, do you see the sample? I’ll enterprise to guess this is among the most outlandish rationales you’ve seen for a decide!
I additionally like Will Zalatoris ($9,000) loads too! Nonetheless, I feel he’s going to be standard!
$7,500 – $8,900
Ben Heisler: Henrik Norlander
DraftKings Price: $7,500
Since I am spending up with Rahm, we’ll need to dig deep this week on just a few gamers and Norlander is available in proper on the very backside of this tier.
He is somebody who’s extremely streaky. His curler coaster of 2020 included three consecutive weeks of lacking the minimize three completely different occasions! However when he will get on a roll, he places up high tier numbers together with final week on the Farmers Insurance coverage Open (2nd) and the week earlier than on the American Categorical (twelfth). Within the final two weeks alone, he is gained just below 18 strokes whole, and 14.7 SG: tee-to-inexperienced.
My solely concern with Norlander is you wish to soar on-board earlier than he begins to flail once more, and I feel his value vary makes him an appropriate danger contemplating simply how good he might be.
Mark Farris: Matt Kuchar and Louis Oosthuizen
DraftKings Price: Kuchar ($7,700) | Oosthuizen ($8,900)
DK Sportsbook Betting Odds to Win: Kuchar +12500 | Oosthuizen +4500
Kuch? Sure, he’s not taking part in his greatest, however he does appear to like it right here. His historical past from 2017-2020 is T9-T5-T4-T16. He’s lengthy sufficient regardless that the bombers generally have a bonus right here. It is a longshot, however at $7,700, it’s price one.
If you happen to’re not taken with my low-cost selection, I additionally like Louis Oosthuizen on the high of this vary. He’s solely performed right here as soon as, however he completed third in 2017. He’s made eight of his final 9 cuts and returned after a two month layoff from the PGA Tour final week and completed T29. Nothing spectacular, however sufficient to point out me his recreation continues to be fairly sharp.
$7,400 and Below
Ben Heisler: Rory Sabbatini
DraftKings Price: $7,300
The nice of us over at Fantasy Nationwide have Sabbatini projected for sub 5% possession on DraftKings this week. I am definitely not going to complain about having an absence of possession on a participant I am on, however I am curious as to why?
Sabbatini’s been awfully good, significantly in his final two occasions ending tenth on the Farmers and twelfth on the AMEX, each of which had been the 2 most up-to-date PGA occasions. He did miss the minimize on the Sony the week earlier than, however he nonetheless has three high 12s in 5 weeks.
He is additionally scoring a bunch of fantasy factors, rating eighth in DraftKings factors gained among the many area regardless of a price ticket in one of many decrease tiers.
I’ll completely have some publicity on Sabbatini for high 10 (+750) and high 20 (+300) bets this week, however I imagine the true worth right here is on the DFS aspect.
Mark Farris: Michael Thompson
DraftKings Price: $7,200
So, let’s see. Who do I humiliate this week with a decide on this vary? I bought Sepp Straka two weeks in the past and I feel I bent all of John Huh’s golf equipment final week earlier than the weekend rounds. NOTE: I’d nonetheless think about each of them in a lineup this week too!
Michael Thompson hasn’t missed a minimize since final June and that was on the Korn Ferry Tour because the U.S. Open in September. He’s been spotless and that’s good if you find yourself speaking golfers which are wage savers and DFS event winners. His final 4 occasions have been, from most up-to-date, T5-T25-T21-T15. I’d take the factors with any of these finishes for $7,200.
Ben Heisler: Matthew Wolff
DraftKings Price: $8,700
Wolff is an immense expertise, and is one among my favourite golfers to trip the wave on when he is locked in. He has the power to shock and fully flip it round at TPC Scottsdale, however I am not banking on it.
The numbers from the earlier 5 tournaments are a catastrophe for an $8,700 price ticket:
- Farmers – W/D
- The American Categorical – T40
- The Masters – MC
- The Zozo – T50
- CJ Cup – 73
In that very same value vary, I may spend up $300 for Will Zalatoris coming off one other spectacular outing at Torrey Pines. I may additionally seize Brooks Koepka, Billy Horschel, Bubba Watson, and even Russell Henley who had been one of many hottest golfers on the planet only a few weeks in the past.
If you are going to “cry Wolff,” you might as nicely do it when he is truly taking part in nicely.
Hideki Matsuyama – $9,700: (+2300) – Completed T53 on the Farmers and tends to go in swings. Too expensive and too low of odds to really feel prefer it’s a rock-strong play at that value.
Mark Farris: Matthew Wolff
DraftKings Price: $8,700
I’m breaking my very own rule right here. I normally don’t like to call a fade that’s lower than $9K. Nonetheless, I’ve seen some hype on Wolff this week and I’m not understanding why. One, he withdrew final week with a hand damage, however miraculously, there was little or no point out of that this week. Two, he missed the minimize right here final 12 months and completed T50 in 2019 on a sponsor’s exemption. Not likely something I’m dashing to roster.
NOTE: If I needed to fade somebody above $9K, I feel it might be Scottie Scheffler at $9,100 however that’s solely as a result of I don’t wish to “full fade” anybody. He’s missed his final two cuts in order that’s the place I’d need to fall this week.